How much potential do new TLDs have?

Everyone in the domaining industry is asking: “How much potential do new TLDs have?” People mainly speculate about the number of registrations, with some gurus discussing brandability etc. Real experts prefer to believe in numbers. Probably the best research done as of today was LDS’s effort to check 5,000 most frequently used domain name prefixes and suffixes. In fact many smart domain name investors took those numers into account while hunting for domain gems in new zones or, few, registering new TLDs altogether.

To give the domainers further numerical support, DNPric.es conducted its own study checking new TLDs versus the past sales. The research focused on two numbers: tail hits, i.e. those domain name sales matching “*tld.*”, and all hits, i.e., matching “*tld*” in general (less those mathces in the tld itself, i.e. not matching “*.tld”). E.g., for .club tail hits would be luxuryclub.com, gclub.com, fitnessclub.de, club.mobi and all hits would also include domain names like golfclubreview.com, countryclubs.com, golfclubs.net, etc.

Among over three hundred thousand domain name sales, DNPric.es found these:

TLD/keyword # of sales (tail hits) # of sales (all hits) # of domains
media 610 1054 7
club 610 964 37806
land 597 1734 11164
center 566 739 14988
solutions 548 582 14750
care 514 1237 1
services 500 540 7
estate 438 732 9670
ink 433 1579 1
house 423 925 5876
zone 338 384 4263
marketing 331 571 5237
works 326 440 145
cards 322 386 8
ren 314 3495 1
rentals 309 345 8
red 298 2792 1159
link 294 742 24045
systems 285 303 8039
directory 282 323 14318
management 274 384 5419
reviews 252 266 403
company 235 322 18261
training 231 338 7542
cash 226 679 1
dating 225 387 8
capital 221 350 7
today 215 253 23597
bar 210 1124 4
exchange 209 272 1
consulting 208 238 1
furniture 204 304 1
finance 202 378 1
tools 200 232 8
trade 191 704 1
tips 184 214 21880
vision 183 334 8
watch 179 441 1553
parts 178 220 8
reisen 177 235 7
properties 174 184 8
supplies 172 180 8
report 167 319 8
fund 161 490 1
events 158 206 8
fitness 155 356 1
agency 154 172 5815
partners 153 199 8
repair 144 267 3447
haus 141 421 1
supply 140 186 8
gallery 140 169 10821
domains 138 241 4744
photo 136 853 6557
international 135 281 7825
toys 133 198 7
academy 133 148 8361
equipment 130 162 7520
gal 126 873 1
town 126 285 7
technology 123 160 14951
support 122 189 7300
vacations 122 149 8
shoes 121 142 3825
photography 120 144 35089
photos 119 174 10778
surgery 116 165 1
solar 115 512 2274
expert 113 350 1452
college 110 384 2
pics 106 132 3325
london 105 274 53
community 105 221 8
gratis 105 180 1
guru 105 133 55985
foundation 105 121 8
vegas 102 341 1
clinic 102 177 1
ventures 102 117 5779
pictures 100 108 7
actor 98 426 1
bike 96 382 10988
financial 95 278 1
flights 94 144 8
clothing 94 125 11132
singles 93 136 6873
coffee 92 245 4357
lease 92 186 7
institute 92 96 3309
discount 91 464 1
bid 91 302 1
nyc 91 247 1
fish 90 388 8
recipes 90 103 2415
education 89 195 6583
social 87 474 373
camp 85 485 2770
buzz 84 162 4908
dental 83 219 1
builders 83 109 2740
cruises 83 98 8
wiki 82 194 225
productions 81 86 8
careers 80 104 4592
investments 80 89 1
holiday 78 425 3607
cleaning 78 127 8
construction 75 135 4820
tax 74 516 1
dance 74 188 56
rest 73 886 3
blue 72 479 711
university 72 112 7
fishing 70 166 1
limited 68 106 1
best 66 1036 71
codes 66 104 2116
creditcard 65 258 1
farm 64 267 2228
computer 63 372 2903
cool 62 302 2229
email 62 195 28857
camera 61 188 4182
boutique 60 141 2837
condos 60 65 8
kitchen 59 207 3998
berlin 58 129 47554
contractors 58 68 3974
gift 57 543 5581
graphics 57 78 5543
lighting 57 78 4630
engineering 54 87 7
immobilien 52 179 47
cheap 51 530 1604
rich 50 304 37
schule 50 70 1
webcam 49 122 1
eus 48 217 1
kaufen 48 61 4
paris 47 208 1
villas 47 59 8
glass 45 234 2155
menu 45 94 4477
florist 45 92 2336
diamonds 45 72 3161
associates 45 48 7
sexy 44 190 13302
pub 42 463 1
career 42 275 1
industries 41 42 8
luxury 40 554 484
cab 39 392 2389
build 38 527 1829
vote 38 118 6
guitars 38 45 773
miami 37 195 1
limo 37 160 2085
catering 37 59 8
country 36 171 1
meet 34 195 6
enterprises 34 40 3451
horse 33 172 1
wed 32 654 64
bargains 32 38 1414
black 31 498 6
plumbing 31 58 4262
holdings 31 31 4800
tattoo 30 107 6124
cooking 30 68 1
vodka 28 40 1
ceo 25 167 1027
rocks 24 58 1
viajes 23 36 826
voyage 22 57 2444
kim 21 106 472
insure 20 76 1
feedback 20 31 2
uno 19 64 5331
moda 18 120 1
christmas 18 111 1
wang 16 37 1
ninja 15 37 56
quebec 15 25 1
foo 13 1028 1
futbol 13 28 79
maison 13 27 8
pink 12 103 518
tokyo 12 54 5
voting 11 16 1
fail 10 39 1
moscow 10 25 1
mango 9 26 1
exposed 9 10 8
rodeo 8 24 1
xyz 8 14 5
koeln 8 14 1
moe 7 127 11
gop 6 107 1
axa 6 69 1
tienda 6 26 12
blackfriday 6 12 1
gmo 5 118 1
soy 5 35 1
kiwi 5 16 4319
cologne 5 14 1
wtc 5 9 1
desi 4 1328 1
democrat 3 24 34
globo 3 10 1
ruhr 3 9 3122
onl 2 3600 1131
kred 2 302 1
jetzt 2 8 1
wtf 2 8 1
sohu 2 4 1
shiksha 2 2 96
archi 1 248 1
wien 1 5 7
voto 1 3 6
ОНЛАЙН 1 1 1428
okinawa 1 1 13
saarland 1 1 1
airforce 0 5 1
gripe 0 2 7
citic 0 2 1
网址 0 1 1
在线 0 0 30980
中文网 0 0 14661
みんな 0 0 3521
شبكة 0 0 1912
САЙТ 0 0 681
移动 0 0 349
qpon 0 0 201
nagoya 0 0 63
дети 0 0 20
삼성 0 0 14
monash 0 0 6
机构 0 0 5
组织机构 0 0 5
neustar 0 0 2
ОРГ 0 0 2
संगठन 0 0 2
游戏 0 0 2
我爱你 0 0 1
公益 0 0 1
集团 0 0 1
商城 0 0 1
بازار 0 0 1
frogans 0 0 1
中信 0 0 1
世界 0 0 1
政务 0 0 1

This table explains well popularity of .berlin, .bike, .center, .clothing, .club, .company, .directory, .email, .gallery, .guru, .land, .link, .photography, .photo, .sexy, .solutions, .technology, and .today. All of them have good related sales in the past in old TLDs and hence the market now believes that new TLDs will be as lucrative in the years to come. IDNs fall out of this study, as they are relatively new kids on the block anyway, and there were very few IDN sales recorded so far (DNPric.es lists only 8,655 of them).

No serous study goes without finding some correlation and DNPric.es thinks it has found some. Have at look on the following two charts, one for tail hits:

Tail hits {click on the image to zoom in}

and one for all hits:

All hits {click on the image to zoom in}

For a moment, let us ignore the lower nebulas, as they mainly represent TLDs not fully launched yet. The dependence is obvious: the higher the number of the sales we found, the more new registrations there are in new TLDs.

Now watch .media to go live and come back with updated numbers. Thinking about buying some? – Focus on those TLDs in the bottom right corners.

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